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What’s next in the road from Paris to Dubai for climate finance?

admin by admin
June 28, 2023
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President Emmanuel Macron’s two-day summit in Paris included 40 world leaders, a concert headlined by Billie Eilish and plans to reform the world’s financial system to tackle climate change and poverty – and plenty for a busy talks schedule All work was abandoned. UN COP28 Summit in Dubai.

What was missing from Paris last week was the leaders of most of the G7 countries, and any significant new finance or debt cancellations for poorer countries disproportionately suffering from climate change. The proposals for reform were also criticized by non-profit groups, which represent some of those most affected, as too modest or not concrete enough.

As he ended the conference, a still-hopeful Macron said participants had agreed on several “action streams” to be addressed in the coming months around the main issue of distributing money to help developing countries.

There will be many more opportunities for rich countries to face off over the next six months, with G20 leaders led by India as this year’s host setting the tone for their September meeting in New Delhi.

This will be followed by the UN Climate Ambition Summit in New York in late September and the annual meeting of the World Bank and IMF in Marrakech in mid-October. The culmination of the year’s climate dialogues is a particularly controversial UN COP28 meeting of nearly 200 countries in oil-rich Dubai for a fortnight from late November.

In Paris, the presence of the leaders of the group of countries known primarily as the Global South for a finance summit co-hosted by Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley put them in the “driving seat” on “all concrete proposals”. has put. , analysts said.

This would boost his profile and credibility at summits, including the UN COP28 climate talks, said Franklin Steves, senior policy advisor at climate-focused think-tank E3G.

Motley Fool economic advisor Avinash Persaud said: “Paris was an important point in this journey but it is an appropriate point in this journey.”

Big effort on raising cash for development banks

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, left, with IMF boss Kristalina Georgieva at the Paris summit © Louise Jolie/Pool/Reuters

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said proposed reforms to the lending practices of international development banks could open up $200 billion in new funds over the next decade.

While Paris has “given them a target”, Persaud said, a key event to watch next will be the annual meeting of the World Bank and IMF in October. “(Marrakech is) where we need to see the implementation of these reforms,” ​​he added.

He said progress on key issues such as so-called callable capital – or the level of cash pledged by countries but not yet paid to lending institutions – is needed now.

The G20 meeting in India will also be important, where the agenda is expected to include a discussion on whether countries should pay even more cash to multilateral banks.

‘Stay Clause’ to put a moratorium on loan repayment

Emmanuel Macron and Ajay Banga talking to each other

President Emmanuel Macron, left, and World Bank President Ajay Banga at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/Reuters

At the Paris summit, the World Bank said it would offer a “break clause” to prevent debt payments for distressed countries when hit by climate or other disasters. France and the US also promised to introduce similar clauses in their bilateral credit or export credit finance.

The UK said it would add these clauses to its export credit finance to 12 African and Caribbean countries. It told other countries at the summit that all bilateral, multilateral and private lenders must offer these clauses by COP28 in Dubai at the end of the year, or by the end of 2025 at the latest.

“We’ve seen the first wave (of pause clauses), but we need to see this wave get bigger with more institutions announcing it,” Persaud said. He said it would have to move from “exotic” to normal in the coming months.

Sarah Harcourt, senior policy director at the non-profit poverty group One Campaign, said the US, UK and France have all committed to implementing debt provisions by the end of the year, making it a “huge victory”. “These will give countries much-needed extra space in their budgets in the event of a natural disaster. But we need to see more countries and bigger lenders coming on board.

$100 billion target in reserve assets

John Kerry and Emmanuel Macron talking to each other

US climate envoy John Kerry, left, and Macron at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/AFP/Getty Images

At the summit, developed countries said they had reached the target of providing so-called Special Drawing Rights to fight climate change and poverty – almost.

SDRs are a type of reserve asset issued by the IMF in emergencies in amounts tied to the size of member country economies.

About $650 billion was released by the IMF in 2021 to help countries deal with the coronavirus pandemic, with most of it going to developed countries.

The G20 agreed later that year reallocate $100 billion In poorer countries, that usually only gets limited access, but they’ve had to struggle to reach that goal.

While the reallocation of funds was one of the big headlines coming out of Paris, after France agreed to give up 40 percent of its own drawing rights, the matter is still plagued by problems.

The biggest question mark is over the US contribution of $21 billion as Republicans in the US Congress had earlier threatened to block the release of part of it.

The next development to watch is how the Multilateral Development Banks can gain drawing rights in the coming months.

debt restructuring for indebted nations

Emmanuel Macron welcomes William Ruto

Macron and Kenyan President William Ruto at the Elysee Palace © Ludovic Marin/AFP/Getty Images

One of the main talking points of the summit was Zambia’s concurrent debt negotiations. After more than two years of negotiations, China and other lenders reached an agreement to restructure $6.3 billion in debt owed to Zambia.

Speaking at the end of the summit, Kenya’s President William Ruto said more than 50 countries were facing a debt crisis, warning that a “more constructive approach” was needed to tackle the problem.

Further discussion on how to accelerate these loan negotiations is expected at the Bank’s annual meetings and ahead of COP28.

Julie Kozak, director of strategic communications at the IMF, was “cautiously optimistic” that the global roundtable on sovereign debt discussions organized around the Marrakech annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank could resolve some of the issues that could affect debt restructuring deals, such as Equal treatment and better information sharing for creditors.

Roundtable participants previously included representatives from major bilateral lenders such as China and France, as well as private sector representatives such as debtor countries and asset manager BlackRock.

setting a global carbon price

Kristalina Georgieva and Emmanuel Macron are discussing

Georgieva and Macron at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/AP

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told the Paris summit that “without a carbon price”, there was “no prospect” of meeting the goal of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

The IMF proposed a carbon price level, where poor countries pay less, middle-income countries more and rich countries pay the most.

“There are a lot of strong voices advocating the need for more financing,” said Dan Jorgensen, Denmark’s minister for development cooperation and global climate policy.

Denmark, Spain, Vietnam, Ireland and 19 other countries are backing the shipping levy, which is expected to be discussed at upcoming International Maritime Organization meetings. Jorgensen said support for the levy is growing, although the details of how it will work have yet to be agreed upon.

But IMO meetings are generally difficult. Nick Mabe of E3G said, “There is often a gap between what leaders say and what happens IMO.”

Other taxes and tariffs were also discussed, including the fossil fuel tax, which is also on the long list of items for further discussion ahead of COP28.

climate capital

Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

Are you curious about FT’s environmental sustainability commitments? Learn more about our science-based goals here


President Emmanuel Macron’s two-day summit in Paris included 40 world leaders, a concert headlined by Billie Eilish and plans to reform the world’s financial system to tackle climate change and poverty – and plenty for a busy talks schedule All work was abandoned. UN COP28 Summit in Dubai.

What was missing from Paris last week was the leaders of most of the G7 countries, and any significant new finance or debt cancellations for poorer countries disproportionately suffering from climate change. The proposals for reform were also criticized by non-profit groups, which represent some of those most affected, as too modest or not concrete enough.

As he ended the conference, a still-hopeful Macron said participants had agreed on several “action streams” to be addressed in the coming months around the main issue of distributing money to help developing countries.

There will be many more opportunities for rich countries to face off over the next six months, with G20 leaders led by India as this year’s host setting the tone for their September meeting in New Delhi.

This will be followed by the UN Climate Ambition Summit in New York in late September and the annual meeting of the World Bank and IMF in Marrakech in mid-October. The culmination of the year’s climate dialogues is a particularly controversial UN COP28 meeting of nearly 200 countries in oil-rich Dubai for a fortnight from late November.

In Paris, the presence of the leaders of the group of countries known primarily as the Global South for a finance summit co-hosted by Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley put them in the “driving seat” on “all concrete proposals”. has put. , analysts said.

This would boost his profile and credibility at summits, including the UN COP28 climate talks, said Franklin Steves, senior policy advisor at climate-focused think-tank E3G.

Motley Fool economic advisor Avinash Persaud said: “Paris was an important point in this journey but it is an appropriate point in this journey.”

Big effort on raising cash for development banks

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, left, with IMF boss Kristalina Georgieva at the Paris summit © Louise Jolie/Pool/Reuters

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said proposed reforms to the lending practices of international development banks could open up $200 billion in new funds over the next decade.

While Paris has “given them a target”, Persaud said, a key event to watch next will be the annual meeting of the World Bank and IMF in October. “(Marrakech is) where we need to see the implementation of these reforms,” ​​he added.

He said progress on key issues such as so-called callable capital – or the level of cash pledged by countries but not yet paid to lending institutions – is needed now.

The G20 meeting in India will also be important, where the agenda is expected to include a discussion on whether countries should pay even more cash to multilateral banks.

‘Stay Clause’ to put a moratorium on loan repayment

Emmanuel Macron and Ajay Banga talking to each other

President Emmanuel Macron, left, and World Bank President Ajay Banga at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/Reuters

At the Paris summit, the World Bank said it would offer a “break clause” to prevent debt payments for distressed countries when hit by climate or other disasters. France and the US also promised to introduce similar clauses in their bilateral credit or export credit finance.

The UK said it would add these clauses to its export credit finance to 12 African and Caribbean countries. It told other countries at the summit that all bilateral, multilateral and private lenders must offer these clauses by COP28 in Dubai at the end of the year, or by the end of 2025 at the latest.

“We’ve seen the first wave (of pause clauses), but we need to see this wave get bigger with more institutions announcing it,” Persaud said. He said it would have to move from “exotic” to normal in the coming months.

Sarah Harcourt, senior policy director at the non-profit poverty group One Campaign, said the US, UK and France have all committed to implementing debt provisions by the end of the year, making it a “huge victory”. “These will give countries much-needed extra space in their budgets in the event of a natural disaster. But we need to see more countries and bigger lenders coming on board.

$100 billion target in reserve assets

John Kerry and Emmanuel Macron talking to each other

US climate envoy John Kerry, left, and Macron at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/AFP/Getty Images

At the summit, developed countries said they had reached the target of providing so-called Special Drawing Rights to fight climate change and poverty – almost.

SDRs are a type of reserve asset issued by the IMF in emergencies in amounts tied to the size of member country economies.

About $650 billion was released by the IMF in 2021 to help countries deal with the coronavirus pandemic, with most of it going to developed countries.

The G20 agreed later that year reallocate $100 billion In poorer countries, that usually only gets limited access, but they’ve had to struggle to reach that goal.

While the reallocation of funds was one of the big headlines coming out of Paris, after France agreed to give up 40 percent of its own drawing rights, the matter is still plagued by problems.

The biggest question mark is over the US contribution of $21 billion as Republicans in the US Congress had earlier threatened to block the release of part of it.

The next development to watch is how the Multilateral Development Banks can gain drawing rights in the coming months.

debt restructuring for indebted nations

Emmanuel Macron welcomes William Ruto

Macron and Kenyan President William Ruto at the Elysee Palace © Ludovic Marin/AFP/Getty Images

One of the main talking points of the summit was Zambia’s concurrent debt negotiations. After more than two years of negotiations, China and other lenders reached an agreement to restructure $6.3 billion in debt owed to Zambia.

Speaking at the end of the summit, Kenya’s President William Ruto said more than 50 countries were facing a debt crisis, warning that a “more constructive approach” was needed to tackle the problem.

Further discussion on how to accelerate these loan negotiations is expected at the Bank’s annual meetings and ahead of COP28.

Julie Kozak, director of strategic communications at the IMF, was “cautiously optimistic” that the global roundtable on sovereign debt discussions organized around the Marrakech annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank could resolve some of the issues that could affect debt restructuring deals, such as Equal treatment and better information sharing for creditors.

Roundtable participants previously included representatives from major bilateral lenders such as China and France, as well as private sector representatives such as debtor countries and asset manager BlackRock.

setting a global carbon price

Kristalina Georgieva and Emmanuel Macron are discussing

Georgieva and Macron at the Paris summit © Ludovic Marin/Pool/AP

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told the Paris summit that “without a carbon price”, there was “no prospect” of meeting the goal of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

The IMF proposed a carbon price level, where poor countries pay less, middle-income countries more and rich countries pay the most.

“There are a lot of strong voices advocating the need for more financing,” said Dan Jorgensen, Denmark’s minister for development cooperation and global climate policy.

Denmark, Spain, Vietnam, Ireland and 19 other countries are backing the shipping levy, which is expected to be discussed at upcoming International Maritime Organization meetings. Jorgensen said support for the levy is growing, although the details of how it will work have yet to be agreed upon.

But IMO meetings are generally difficult. Nick Mabe of E3G said, “There is often a gap between what leaders say and what happens IMO.”

Other taxes and tariffs were also discussed, including the fossil fuel tax, which is also on the long list of items for further discussion ahead of COP28.

climate capital

Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

Are you curious about FT’s environmental sustainability commitments? Learn more about our science-based goals here

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